Influence of Resource Allocation in the Photovoltaic R&D of Japan based on Technology Stock Modeling

Eiichi Endo

2014

Abstract

In Japan, crystalline silicon solar cells have a large market share in production, however they have not been a priority in R&D. This paper analyzes the influence of resource allocation in the photovoltaic (PV) R&D in Japan on the price of solar cells and the market share in world solar cell production. Firstly, it finds that the price of solar cells in Japan, with respect to the resource allocation in R&D of crystalline silicon solar cells, did not reduce significantly but maintained a constant level. For the projection, it does not use an experience curve, but models technological progress and price reduction of solar cells in Japan, excluding mass production effects, based on technological knowledge stock modeling. Secondly, solar cell prices in other countries are estimated based on their market share of the world's solar cell production. The estimated solar cell price in Japan is reduced by up to 40% from the actual price, and is competitive to the estimated solar cell prices in China and Taiwan. In this case, Japan could maintain its high share in the world solar cell production for a few years longer. This analysis will contribute to cost-effective R&D resource allocation by a simulation approach.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Endo E. (2014). Influence of Resource Allocation in the Photovoltaic R&D of Japan based on Technology Stock Modeling . In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH, ISBN 978-989-758-038-3, pages 709-716. DOI: 10.5220/0005038007090716

in Bibtex Style

@conference{simultech14,
author={Eiichi Endo},
title={Influence of Resource Allocation in the Photovoltaic R&D of Japan based on Technology Stock Modeling},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH,},
year={2014},
pages={709-716},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0005038007090716},
isbn={978-989-758-038-3},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF
JO - Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications - Volume 1: SIMULTECH,
TI - Influence of Resource Allocation in the Photovoltaic R&D of Japan based on Technology Stock Modeling
SN - 978-989-758-038-3
AU - Endo E.
PY - 2014
SP - 709
EP - 716
DO - 10.5220/0005038007090716